Monday, January 23, 2012

Action Insight Daily Report 1-23-12 (trusted: contact@actionforex.com)

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Euro Soft as Greek PSI Talk Drags On

Euro is mildly softer today as Greek PSI talk drags on. Also, trading activities are subdued in Asia due to Chinese new year holiday. After intensive discussion over the weekend, there is no clear outcome from Greece and private investor on the debt swap deal yet. It's believed private creditors should have agreed on cutting down up to 70% on Greece debt values but many details remains unresolved. Note to mention that the plan needs to be approved by IMF and EU ministers. A key topic of negotiation is the new bond coupon rates which is believed to be around 4-4.5%. But IMF is insisting on around 4% coupon rate. Meanwhile, EU finance ministers will meet today in Brussels to discuss new budget rules, firewall to safeguard indebted Eurozone countries and the terms on the Greek swap deal.

Full Report Here...


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Featured Technical Report

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 99.22; (P) 99.78; (R1) 100.14; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment and some more consolidations could be seen. But rebound from 97.03 short term bottom is in favor to continue with 98.54 minor support intact and above 100.33 will bring stronger rebound. Though, there is no indication of down trend reversal yet as long as 102.53 resistance holds. That is fall from 111.57 is expected to continue. Below 98.54 minor support will flip bias back to the downside for retesting 97.03 low.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
0:30 AUD PPI Q/Q Q4 0.30% 0.40% 0.60%
0:30 AUD PPI Y/Y Q4 2.90% 3.00% 2.70%
13:30 CAD Leading Indicators M/M Dec 0.60% 0.80%
15:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Jan A -21.4 -21.1
2012 Elliott Wave Forecast

USD index 2012 Elliott Wave Forecast

Despite falling to as low as 72.70 in H1 2011, dollar index found good support there and staged a rebound from there back to the opening level of 2011, suggesting the major downtrend is not ready to resume yet and wave IV correction is still unfolding as a complex correction. We are keeping our preferred count that a major (A)-(B)-(C) wave has commenced since 1980s with (A) wave ended at 78.19 in 1992, followed by a 3-legged wave (B) ended at 121.02 in 2001 and 5-waver wave (C) is unfolding with wave III ended at 70.70 in 2008.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Due to Chinese New Year holidays, next Candlesticks and Ichimoku Trade Idea update will be made on Wednesday 25 Jan.

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 


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