Saturday, June 16, 2012

Action Insight Weekly Report 6-16-12 (trusted: contact@actionforex.com)

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

All Eyes on Greece Election, Will Greece Exit, Will Central Banks React?

The situation got a bit complicated just ahead of the crucial Greek elections. On the one hand, news flow from Europe were generally negative, with soaring peripheral yields and downgrades. On the other hand, risk markets were lifted by speculation of additional stimulus from central banks and coordinated actions by G20 leaders. It's reported that G-20 leaders, who will meet in Mexico on Monday and Tuesday, were already " preparing for coordinated action to provide liquidity" if global financial markets worsen markedly after the Greek election." Indeed, BoE has taken the lead and announced credit-easing measures last week. ECB seemed to be opening doors for rate cut. While investors should be in deep worry of the Greece situation, the need for bailout for Spain and Italy, stocks jumped with Stoxx Europe 600 index rose nearly 1%and S&P 500 just had the first back-to-back weekly gain since April. Dollar did weakened with dollar index back below 81 level. It's weird that investors were worried and were buying at the same time. And it even feels a bit like investors were hoping for the worst outcome from Greece so that central banks and officials would then have enough drive to do something drastic.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook

EUR/AUD dropped to as low as 1.2518 last week as the decline from 1.3028 continued. The break of 1.2571 support confirmed our bearish view that choppy rebound from 1.2132 is finished at 1.3028 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Initial bias remains on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 1.2132 to 1.3028 at 1.2474 first. Break will target 1.2132 low and below. On the upside break of 1.2667 support turned resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery.

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The Week in Review and Outlook

 


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