Thursday, June 7, 2012

Action Insight Daily Report 6-7-12 (trusted: contact@actionforex.com)

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Sentiments Improve But Face Test of Spain Auction and Bernanke Testimony

A couple of developments gave markets a overnight which led to strong rally in DOW for as much as 286 pts, or 2.37%. Firstly, there were talks that Germany and EU officials are looking at resolutions to Spain's banking crisis even though assistance is not yet sought by Spain. Intensive contingency planning is believed to be carried out in Berlin and Brussels that could involve giving Spain access to EFSF or ESM without having to impose tough reforms like Greece, Portugal and Ireland. Secondly, ECB President's message as the press conference was seen as leaving doors open to further easing even though ECB just stand pat for the moment. Thirdly, Fed's Vice Chairman Yellen urged to provide further policy accommodations either through "forward guidance" or "additional balance-sheet actions". Positive sentiments then carried on in Asian session as China will delay the new tougher bank capital rules to 2013. Positive employment data from Australia also helped.

Full Report Here...


jpyvol.png
nzdusdpiv.png

Featured Technical Report

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.40; (P) 122.17; (R1) 123.47; More...

GBP/JPY's rebound form 118.82 is still in progress and further rally might be seen. But after all, such rebound is viewed as a correction only. Thus, upside should be limited by 124.64 resistance and bring fall resumption eventually. Below 121.33 minor support should flip bias to the downside and send GBP/JPY through 118.82 to 116.83/117.29 support zone next.

Read more...

Special Reports

ECB Left Interest Rates Unchanged, Draghi Questioned the Effectiveness of Monetary Policies on Crisis

As expected, the ECB left the main refinancing rate unchanged at 1% although sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone intensified. At the press conference, President Draghi unveiled that the decision was made by consensus and indicated "a few members" favored further rate cut. Yet, Draghi also downplayed the effectiveness of additional easing to the economic and financial environment.

Read more...

BOC Left Interest Rates Unchanged, Statement Not as Dovish as Anticipated

The Bank of Canada left the policy rate unchanged at 1%. Policymakers acknowledged worsening in global economic outlook and increasing risks going forward. Yet, it retained the stance that the next move of the central bank would be a rate hike, rather than a cut. This should be attributed to the relatively stable domestic recovery. Concerning exchange rate, the BOC retained the rhetoric that persistent appreciation would be detrimental to growth despite the recent decline.

Read more...

RBA Eases For A Second Consecutive Month

As expected the RBA lowered the cash rate by -25 bps, following a -50 bps cut in May, to 3.5% in June. Deterioration in the sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone and moderation in the Chinese economic growth were reasons triggering the reduction. Moreover, cautiousness of business and household spending which might continue in the near-term also contributed to the need for further easing. After the rate cut, policymakers believed that borrowing costs have dropped to be a 'little below their medium-term averages'.

Read more...

Economic Indicators Update

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:01 GBP BRC Sales Like-For-Like Y/Y May 1.30% 0.70% -3.30%
1:30 AUD Employment Change May 38.9K -2.2K 15.5K 7.0K
1:30 AUD Unemployment Rate May 5.10% 5.10% 4.90% 5.00%
5:00 JPY Leading Index Apr P 95.1 95.1 96.4
5:45 CHF Unemployment Rate May 3.10% 3.10%
7:00 CHF Foreign Currency Reserves (CHF) May 235.6B
7:15 CHF CPI M/M May 0.00% 0.10%
7:15 CHF CPI Y/Y May -1.00% -1.00%
8:30 GBP PMI Services May 52.4 53.3
11:00 GBP BoE Rate Decision 0.50% 0.50%
11:00 GBP BoE Asset Purchase Target Jun 325B 325B
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims 380K 383K
14:00 CAD Ivey PMI May 52.7 52.7
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 71B
 

Orders and Options Watch

European Session: Orders and Options Watch

GBP: Although the British pound rebounded overnight on back of euro's rally, cross-selling in sterling against euro capped cable's upside and price has retreated again after faltering below yesterday's high of 1.5516. At the moment, bids from short-term specs and Asian names are still noted at 1.5430-40 and demand from Millde East names should emerge around 1.5390-00 with stops building up below 1.5370 and 1.5320 (large). On the upside, offers from model funds remain at 1.5510-20 and although stops are reported at 1.5530, more selling interests are tipped at 1.5540-50. Expect range trading ahead of BOE rate decision later today at 11:00GMT.

Full Report Here...

Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: GBP/USD – Hold short entered at 1.5480

Despite yesterday’s brief rise to 1.5516, the subsequent retreat suggests a top is possibly formed there (with a shooting star on the hourly chart) and consolidation with mild downside bias remains for test of the Ichimoku cloud (now at 1.5378-90), however, break there is needed to add credence to this view and bring weakness to 1.5360, then towards this week’s low at 1.5322

Full Report Here...

Trade Idea: USD/JPY – Buy at 78.75

As the greenback has maintained a firm undertone after this week’s rally, confirming a temporary low has been formed at 77.65 last week and bullishness remains for the rise from 77.65 to bring a stronger retracement of recent decline and gain to 79.60 and possibly 79.83 resistance would be seen, however, still reckon upside would be limited to psychological resistance at 80.00

Full Report Here...

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights


Forward this report to a friend!

This email was sent to actionforex.20.trader1983@spamgourmet.com by contact@actionforex.com |  

Action Forex Company Limited | Room 1707, 17/F | Treasure Center | 42 Hung To Road | Kwun Tong | Kowloon | 852 | Hong Kong

No comments:

Post a Comment