Saturday, February 25, 2012

Action Insight Weekly Report 2-25-12 (trusted: contact@actionforex.com)

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Euro Strength, Yen Weakness Dominated, More to Come?

Euro's rally and yen's decline dominated the markets last week. The common currency was lifted as Greece finally secured the second bailout. Also, markets have been bidding up Euro ahead of this week's send long term LTRO from ECB. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen's fall accelerated on BoJ QE expectations as well as strength in crude oil. Markets were rather dull elsewhere though, as dollar was bounded in range against sterling and commodity currencies. Momentum in stock markets was unconvincing as DOW struggled to close above 13000 level. However, commodities have been impressively strong as CRB index gapped above 319 resistance and has never looked back since then. Crude oil also managed to extend recent rise and accelerated to close close to 110. Technically, the sustainability of Euro's rally is not confirmed yet but yen's reversal looks real. We'd expect more selloff in the Japanese in near term but would be cautious on sign of loss of momentum in common currency.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY's rally from 97.03 accelerated to as high as 109.23 last week. The strong break of the near term falling trend line resistance indicates that fall from 123.31 has likely finished on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 111.57 resistance next. Break there will affirm this bullish case and target 123.31 key resistance next. On the downside, below 108.17 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first before staging another rally.

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Suggested Readings

The Week in Review and Outlook


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