Tuesday, February 14, 2012

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 2-14-12 (trusted: contact@actionforex.com)

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Yen Weakness Continues, Euro Supported by Bond Auctions and German ZEW

Yen's sell remains the major theme today in otherwise rather dull markets. Euro was somewhat weighed down mildly by Moody's downgrade and Greece concerns. However, the common currency is also supported by sold bond auction in Italy and Spain, as well as solid German ZEW investor confidence readings. Dollar is steady after release of mixed retail sales report, which saw headline sales rose less than expected by 0.4% in January and ex-auto sales rose more than expected by 0.7%.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 77.37; (P) 77.58; (R1) 77.76; More....

USD/JPY jumps further to as high as 78.18 so far today and intraday bias remains on the upside for 78.28 resistance. Break will confirm that choppy decline from 79.52 is finished with three waves down to 76.02. And in that case, rebound from 75.56 might be resuming for 79.52 and above. On the downside, though, below 77.36 minor support will mix up the near term outlook and turn bias neutral first.

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Special Reports

BOJ Surprisingly Adds Stimulus

The BOJ surprisingly expanded its asset purchase program by +10 trillion yen today, sending the total fund size to around 65 trillion yen. At the same time, policymakers unanimously voted to keep the uncollateralized overnight call rate at 0.-0.1%. The unexpected move aimed to stimulate the country's economy which contracted an annualized -2.3% in 4Q11. Japanese yen will likely be little affected by the move.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
00:01 GBP RICS House Price Balance Jan -16 -18% -16%
00:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Jan 4 3
03:43 JPY BoJ Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
04:30 JPY Industrial Production M/M Dec F 3.80% 4.00% 4.00%
09:30 GBP DCLG UK House Prices Y/Y Dec 0.10% -0.10% -0.30%
09:30 GBP CPI M/M Jan -0.50% -0.50% 0.40%
09:30 GBP CPI Y/Y Jan 3.60% 3.60% 4.20%
09:30 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Jan 2.60% 2.60% 3.00%
09:30 GBP RPI M/M Jan -0.60% -0.40% 0.40%
09:30 GBP RPI Y/Y Jan 3.90% 4.10% 4.80%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Production M/M Dec -1.10% -1.40% -0.10% 0.00%
10:00 EUR German ZEW (Economic Sentiment) Feb 5.4 -15 -21.6
10:00 EUR German ZEW (Current Situation) Feb 40.3 31 28.4
10:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW (Economic Sentiment) Feb -8.1 -21.1 -32.5
13:30 USD Import Price Index M/M Jan 0.30% 0.20% -0.10%
13:30 USD Advance Retail Sales Jan 0.40% 0.70% 0.10%
13:30 USD Retail Sales Less Autos Jan 0.70% 0.50% -0.20%
15:00 USD Business Inventories Dec 0.40% 0.30%
Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea update will resume on Tuesday - 21 Feb 2012.

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 


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