Thursday, February 9, 2012

Action Insight Daily Report 2-9-12 (trusted: contact@actionforex.com)

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Euro Rises as Venizelos Heads to Brussels, ECB and BoE Watched

Euro manages to extend recent rally against dollar and yen even though the Greek situation remains unresolved. Greek officials sounded optimistic as a statement from Prime Minister Papademos said that political leaders have "agreed on all the points of the program with the exception of one which requires further elaboration and discussion." It's believed that pension reform is that stumbling block. Finance Minister Venizelos will travel to Brussels to meet with Eurozone finance ministers today. Venizelos is hopeful that "there is agreement on all issues" with political leaders "bar one". Prime Minister Papademos will stay in Athens striving to complete the austerity deal before EU finance minsters meeting. Before that, focus will first turn to ECB and BoE meetings.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 101.72; (P) 102.08; (R1) 102.51; More

EUR/JPY's rally resumed after brief consolidations and reaches as high as 102.77 so far today. Intraday bias remains on the upside for the moment. Current rally from 97.03 is expected to continue towards 100% projection of 97.03 to 102.20 from 99.24 at 104.41. On the downside, below 101.65 minor support will turn bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain cautiously bullish as long as 99.24 support holds.

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Special Reports

ECB To Stand On The Sideline While BOE To Extend Asset Purchases

Although Greece's PSI and its access to the new tranche of bailout fund dragged on, market sentiment appeared to have improved since the last ECB meeting. Moreover, reaction to the 3-year LTRO was positive while economic data over the past few weeks showed improvement. These should allow the ECB to keep the main refinancing rate unchanged at 1% and leave the unconventional monetary measures unchanged.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Unemployment Rate Q4 6.30% 6.50% 6.60%
21:45 NZD Employment Change Q/Q Q4 0.10% 0.40% 0.20%
23:50 JPY Japan Money Stock M2+CD Y/Y Jan 3.00% 3.10% 3.10% 3.20%
1:30 CNY PPI Y/Y Jan 0.70% 0.70% 1.70%
1:30 CNY CPI Y/Y Jan 4.50% 4.00% 4.10%
5:00 JPY Household Confidence Jan 40 38.5 38.9
6:45 CHF SECO Consumer Confidence Jan -22 -24
9:30 GBP Industrial Production M/M Dec 0.20% -0.70%
9:30 GBP Industrial Production Y/Y Dec -3.10% -3.10%
9:30 GBP Manufacturing Production M/M Dec 0.20% -0.20%
9:30 GBP Manufacturing Production Y/Y Dec 0.30% -0.60%
9:30 GBP Visible Trade Balance (GBP) Dec -8.4B -8.6B
12:00 GBP BoE Rate Decision 0.50% 0.50%
12:00 GBP BOE Asset Purchase Target Feb 325B 275B
12:45 EUR ECB Rate Decision 1.00% 1.00%
13:30 EUR ECB Press Conference
13:30 CAD New Housing Price Index M/M Dec 0.50% 0.30%
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims 370K 367K
15:00 USD Wholesale Inventories Dec 0.50% 0.10%
15:00 GBP NIESR GDP Estimate Jan 0.10%
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -82B -132
Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea update will resume on Tuesday - 21 Feb 2012.

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 


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