Friday, February 10, 2012

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 2-10-12 (trusted: contact@actionforex.com)

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Risk Markets Tumble ahead of Crucial Greek Austerity Vote

Risk markets are sold off sharply today as investors are lightening their positions ahead of the austerity package vote in Greece this weekend, probably on Sunday. The vote is crucial for Greece to secure the EUR 130b second bailout, in timely manner, to avoid disorderly default in March. EU head of finance ministers had made it bluntly clear that "no disbursement without implementation" and EU will review the package from Greece again next Wednesday. Juncker also urged ECB to "look, within the framework of its independence, what sort of contribution it can make to the debt reduction of Greece". At the time of writing, European stock indices are broadly lower with DAX and CAC down more than -1%. In the currency markets, dollar rebounds strongly against other major currencies.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9086; (P) 0.9119; (R1) 0.9148; More....

USD/CHF's strong recovery and break of 0.9151 minor resistances indicates that a temporary low is in place at 0.9089. Intraday bias is turned neutral for some consolidations. But near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9262 resistance hold. Another decline is still in favor and below 0.9089 will target 0.9065 and then 0.8567 key support level. However, break of 0.9262 will indicate that fall form 0.9594 is likely completed with bullish convergence condition in 4 hours MACD and bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement of 0.9594 to 0.9089 at 0.9401 and above.

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Special Reports

As Expected, BOE Added More Stimulus while ECB Stood Aside

The BOE expanded the asset purchase program by +50B pound to 325B pound and left the Bank rate at 0.5%. As mentioned in the policy statement, 'the underlying pace of recovery slowed during 2011, with activity falling slightly during the final quarter. While policymakers noted that 'some recent business surveys have painted a more positive picture and asset prices have risen', the pace of expansion in the country's major exporters 'has also slowed and concerns remain about the indebtedness and competitiveness of some euro-area countries'.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Domestic CGPI Y/Y Jan 0.50% 0.80% 1.30% 1.20%
00:30 AUD RBA Monetary Policy Statement
07:00 EUR German CPI M/M Jan F -0.40% -0.40% -0.40%
07:00 EUR German CPI Y/Y Jan F 2.10% 2.00% 2.00%
08:15 CHF CPI M/M Jan -0.40% -0.30% -0.20%
08:15 CHF CPI Y/Y Jan -0.80% -0.70% -0.70%
09:30 GBP PPI Input M/M Jan 0.50% 0.20% -0.60%
09:30 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Jan 7.00% 6.80% 8.70%
09:30 GBP PPI Output M/M Jan 0.50% 0.10% -0.20%
09:30 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Jan 4.10% 3.70% 4.80%
09:30 GBP PPI Output Core M/M Jan 0.30% 0.00% -0.10%
09:30 GBP PPI Output Core Y/Y Jan 2.40% 2.30% 3.00%
13:30 CAD International Merchandise Trade (CAD) Dec 2.7B 0.65B 1.07B
13:30 USD Trade Balance Dec -48.8B -48.2B -47.8B
14:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence Feb P 74 75
19:00 USD Monthly Budget Statement Jan -$62.5B -$49.8B
Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea update will resume on Tuesday - 21 Feb 2012.

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 


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