Thursday, February 9, 2012

Action Insight Daily Report 2-10-12 (trusted: contact@actionforex.com)

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Sentiments Weighed Down as Greece Unable to Secure Second Bailout Despite Austerity Agreement

Market sentiments are a bit weighed down by news that even though the austerity plan was agreed among political leaders, Greece is still unable to secure the EUR 130b second bailout from EU/IMF. Luxembourg Prime Minster Juncker said yesterday after the meeting between EU finance ministers in Brussels that "despite the important progress achieved over the last days, we did not yet have all necessary elements on the table to take decisions." Juncker required Greece to firstly pass the austerity package in parliament on Sunday, secondly find extra EUR 325m in savings for 2012, and thirdly give "strong political assurances" for continuing the reform implementation after April's general election. Juncker noted that the three elements are needed before EU can make the decisions on approving the bailout. EU finance ministers would review the Greek proposal again next Wednesday. Greek Finance Minister Venizelos responded saying that "between now and next Wednesday, we must decide whether our country's salvation will come from within."

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9086; (P) 0.9119; (R1) 0.9148; More....

USD/CHF is clearly losing downside momentum with 4 hours MACD crossed above signal line but there is no strength for recovery yet. Intraday bias remains on the downside with 0.9151 minor resistance intact. Current fall from 0.9594 is expected to continue to 0.9065 next. As noted before, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, whole rebound from 0.7065 is possibly finished. Break of 0.9065 support will target 0.8567 key support to confirm the bearish case. On the upside, above 0.9151 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But break of 0.9262 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, we'll stay near term bearish even in case of recovery.

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Special Reports

As Expected, BOE Added More Stimulus while ECB Stood Aside

The BOE expanded the asset purchase program by +50B pound to 325B pound and left the Bank rate at 0.5%. As mentioned in the policy statement, 'the underlying pace of recovery slowed during 2011, with activity falling slightly during the final quarter. While policymakers noted that 'some recent business surveys have painted a more positive picture and asset prices have risen', the pace of expansion in the country's major exporters 'has also slowed and concerns remain about the indebtedness and competitiveness of some euro-area countries'.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Domestic CGPI Y/Y Jan 0.50% 0.80% 1.30% 1.20%
0:30 AUD RBA Monetary Policy Statement
7:00 EUR German CPI M/M Jan F -0.40% -0.40%
7:00 EUR German CPI Y/Y Jan F 2.00% 2.00%
8:15 CHF CPI M/M Jan -0.30% -0.20%
8:15 CHF CPI Y/Y Jan -0.70% -0.70%
9:30 GBP PPI Input M/M Jan 0.20% -0.60%
9:30 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Jan 6.80% 8.70%
9:30 GBP PPI Output M/M Jan 0.10% -0.20%
9:30 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Jan 3.70% 4.80%
9:30 GBP PPI Output Core M/M Jan 0.00% -0.10%
9:30 GBP PPI Output Core Y/Y Jan 2.30% 3.00%
13:30 CAD International Merchandise Trade (CAD) Dec 0.65B 1.07B
13:30 USD Trade Balance Dec -48.2B -47.8B
14:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence Feb P 74 75
19:00 USD Monthly Budget Statement Jan -$62.5B -$49.8B
Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea update will resume on Tuesday - 21 Feb 2012.

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 


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