Friday, April 27, 2012

Action Insight Daily Report 4-27-12 (trusted: contact@actionforex.com)

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Yen Volatile after BoJ Expanded Bond Purchase, Spain Yield Watched after Downgrade

BoJ left rates unchanged at 0-0.1% today. Also, the bank decided to boost government bond purchase by JPY 10T. In addition, BOJ will also expand purchases of ETFS by JPY 0.2T and REITS by JPY 0.1T. On the other hand, BoJ reduce the six-month fixed-rate loan by JPY 5T due to lackluster demand. The bank also extended deadline for the asset buying target by six months, with 2012 year end target unchanged at JPY 65T and the now JPY 70T target will be met in June 2013. Overall, BoJ expects that "together with the cumulative effects of earlier policy measures, today's decision to further enhance monetary easing will better ensure the return of Japan's economy to a sustainable growth path with price stability." The bank expects inflation to approach its 1% target as early as in 2014.

Full Report Here...


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Featured Technical Report

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 80.61; (P) 81.02; (R1) 81.37; More...

Some volatility is seen in USD/JPY today but it's still staying below 81.77 resistance and remains pressured. Bias is mildly on the downside or 80.29 support and break will extend the choppy pull back from 84.17 to 61.8% retracement of 76.02 to 84.17 at 79.13. On the upside, though, break of 81.77 will indicate that pull back from 84.17 is already completed and will bring stronger rebound.

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Special Reports

FOMC And RBNZ Meeting Review

As expected, the Fed maintained the policy rate unchanged at 0-0.25% and did not add further monetary easing measures. While the post-meeting statement contained only modest changes from the previous ones, the latest economic projections sent a confusing outlook. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke reiterated that the central bank has 'prepared to do more as needed to make sure that this recovery continues and that inflation stays close to target'. The language to leave interest rates at exceptionally low level at least until mid-2014 remained unchanged.

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Economic Indicators Update

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Survey Apr -31 -30 -31
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate Mar 4.50% 4.50% 4.50%
23:30 JPY Household Spending Y/Y Mar 3.40% 4.00% 2.30%
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y Apr -0.50% -0.30% -0.30%
23:30 JPY National CPI Core Y/Y Mar 0.20% 0.10% 0.10%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Mar P 1.00% 2.30% -1.60%
23:50 JPY Retail Trade Y/Y Mar 10.30% 10.00% 3.50% 3.40%
23:50 JPY Large Retailers' Sales Mar 5.00% 7.20% 0.20%
4:00 JPY BoJ Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
5:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Mar 5.00% 8.20% 7.50%
6:00 EUR German GfK Consumer Sentiment May 5.6 5.9 5.9 5.8
7:00 CHF KOF Leading Indicator Apr 0.2 0.08
12:30 USD GDP (Annualized) Q1 A 2.50% 3.00%
12:30 USD GDP Price Index Q1 A 2.20% 0.90%
12:30 USD Employment Cost Index Q1 0.50% 0.40%
13:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence Apr F 75.9 75.7
Forex Trade Ideas

Remark: Next Ichimoku and Candlestick intra-day trade idea update will be made on Monday 30 April 2012

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 


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