Saturday, March 10, 2012

Action Insight Weekly Report 3-10-12 (trusted: contact@actionforex.com)

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Euro to Remain Pressured after Greece Completed PSI, Officially Defaulted

European majors weakened sharply last week despite interim rebound. The near term picture is cleared as Greece completed the PSI debt swap deal and is set for getting approval from EU and IMF for additional bailout. Also, Greece default was ruled official by ISDA for activation of the collective action clauses. Dollar, on the other hand, was supported by solid US data and strengthened broadly, with dollar index closed above 80 level again. Meanwhile, commodity currencies were relatively steady as supported by resilience in stocks despite intra-week selloff. After a week of volatility, there outlook didn't change in general. European majors will remain weak in near term while dollar will maintain it's strength, in particular against the Japanese yen. The main question is unresolved yet and that is, whether see massive stock selloff while drags down commodity currencies.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

Last week's development suggests that rebound from 1.2625 has likely completed with three waves up to 1.3486 already. More importantly, EUR/USD maintains a pattern of lower highs, lower lows since 1.4939 and such decline is still in progress. Initial bias is on the downside this week for 1.2974 support first. Break will affirm our bearish view and should target 1.2625 and below. On the upside, break of 1.3290 resistance is needed to signal completion of fall from 1.3486. Otherwise, we'll stay cautiously bearish even in case of recovery.

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Suggested Readings

The Week in Review and Outlook


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