Monday, October 15, 2012

Action Insight Daily Report 10-16-12 (trusted: contact@actionforex.com)

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Yen Lower on Risk Appetite, Busy Calendar Ahead

Yen weakness remains the main theme is otherwise ranging markets. Asian equities are broadly higher following rebound in US stocks overnight. Citigroup, the 3rd largest US bank, reported profit from trading and lending in 3Q12. This lifted shares in the banking sector and boosted expectations of Goldman Sachs' results due today. In addition, sentiment was helped by comments from New York Fed Dudley and German Chancellor Merkel. Meanwhile, New Zealand dollar was mildly softer after weaker than expected inflation reading. Nonetheless, most major pairs and crosses are stuck in familiar range. The markets will look into today's long list of economic data from inspirations.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 101.15; (P) 101.71; (R1) 102.40; More

EUR/JPY rises to as high as 102.35 so far but stays in range of 100.14/102.79. Thus, intraday bias remains neutral. Overall outlook remains unchanged. Price actions from 103.86 are viewed as a consolidation pattern only. Above 102.79 will argue that recent rally from 94.11 is finally resuming and will turn bias to the upside for 103.86 first. Break will confirm and target 61.8% retracement of 111.43 to 94.11 at 104.81 and then 111.43 key resistance. On the downside, below 100.14 will bring deeper decline to extend the correction fro 103.86. But we'd expect strong support from 97.98/99.18 support zone to contain downside and complete the consolidations.

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Economic Indicators Update

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
21:45 NZD CPI Q/Q Q3 0.30% 0.50% 0.30%
21:45 NZD CPI Y/Y Q3 0.80% 1.00% 1.00%
0:30 AUD RBA Minutes
8:30 GBP DCLG UK House Prices Y/Y Aug 1.80% 2.00%
8:30 GBP CPI M/M Sep 0.40% 0.50%
8:30 GBP CPI Y/Y Sep 2.30% 2.50%
8:30 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Sep 2.10% 2.10%
8:30 GBP RPI Y/Y Sep 2.70% 2.90%
8:30 GBP PPI Input M/M Sep 0.50% 2.00%
8:30 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Sep -0.50% 1.40%
8:30 GBP PPI Output M/M Sep 0.30% 0.50%
8:30 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Sep 2.20% 2.20%
8:30 GBP PPI Output Core M/M Sep 0.10% 0.10%
8:30 GBP PPI Output Core Y/Y Sep 1.00% 1.20%
9:00 EUR Eurozone CPI M/M Sep 0.70% 0.40%
9:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Sep 2.70% 2.70%
9:00 EUR Eurozone CPI - Core Y/Y Sep 1.60% 1.50%
9:00 EUR German ZEW (Economic Sentiment) Oct -15 -18.2
9:00 EUR German ZEW (Current Situation) Oct 12 12.6
9:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW (Economic Sentiment) Oct -1.1 -3.8
9:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Aug 8.2B 7.9B
12:30 CAD International Securities Transactions (CAD) Aug 8.50B 6.67B
12:30 CAD Manufacturing Shipments M/M Aug 0.50% -1.50%
12:30 USD CPI M/M Sep 0.50% 0.60%
12:30 USD CPI Y/Y Sep 1.80% 1.70%
12:30 USD CPI Core M/M Sep 0.20% 0.10%
12:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Sep 2.00% 1.90%
13:00 USD Net Long-term TIC Flows Aug 45.3B 67.0B
13:15 USD Industrial Production Sep 0.20% -1.20%
13:15 USD Capacity Utilization Sep 78.30% 78.20%
14:00 USD NAHB Housing Market Index Oct 41 40
 
Forex Trade Ideas

Due to holidays, no update next week and next Candlestick and Ichimoku Trade Idea update will be made on Monday 22 Oct 2012.

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 

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