Monday, May 21, 2012

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-21-12 (trusted: contact@actionforex.com)

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Euro Recovery Lost Steam, But Stays in Range

Euro's recovery lost some steam today and retreated mildly in European session. Economy of Spain is expected to continue contraction in Q2, as Finance Minister Luis de Guindos noted today. He said that Spain would perform in a "relatively similar behavior" to the first quarter and GDP could contract by -0.3% qoq rate. Though, de Guindos affirmed that the country would meet its deficit target and " there is a commitment from the autonomous communities and the central administration to correct the public deficit". On the other hand, Spanish prime minister Mariano Rajoy said over the weekend that banks in the country don't need European rescue in spite of recent downgrades.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9357; (P) 0.9428; (R1) 0.9471; More....

Consolidation from 0.9499 is still in progress and deeper retreat could be seen to 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 0.9358) and below. But downside is expected to be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9041 to 0.9499 at 0.9324 and bring another rally. Above 0.9499 will extend rise from 0.9041 to target 0.9594 high next.

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Economic Indicators Update

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:01 GBP Rightmove House Prices M/M May 0.00% 2.90%
4:30 JPY All Industry Activity Index M/M Mar -0.30% -0.10% -0.10%
5:45 CHF SECO Consumer Confidence Apr -8 -15 -19

Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

CHF: The greenback has staged a relatively strong rebound on improved risk sentiment and offers at 0.9420-25 were filled, however, more selling interests from European names are still noted at 0.9445-50 and further out at 0.9470, followed by mixture of offers and stops located at 0.9500-10. On the downside, bids from Swiss names are tipped at 0.9400 and also at 0.9370-80, larger size buy orders are reported at 0.9340-50 with stops placed below 0.9325-30 and 0.9300.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: USD/CHF – Hold long entered at 0.9380

Despite intra-day brief fall to 0.9375, as the greenback has rebounded after holding above indicated previous resistance at 0.9372, retaining our bullishness and consolidation with upside bias remains for rebound to 0.9445-50, break there would suggest intra-day low is formed and bring test of the Ichimoku cloud (now at 0.9457-69) but break there is needed to signal the correction from 0.9500 has ended and bring retest of this level later.

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Trade Idea: EUR/JPY – Sell at 102.70

Despite Friday’s selloff to 100.22, as the single currency has staged a strong rebound from there, suggesting consolidation would be seen and retracement to 102.00 cannot be ruled out, however, upside should be limited to previous resistance at 102.71 and bring another decline. Below 100.80/85 would suggest the rebound from 100.22 has ended and bring a retest of this level

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights


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