Thursday, December 29, 2011

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 12-29-11 (trusted: contact@actionforex.com)

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Euro Extends Fall after Italian Auction

Euro extended its broad based decline after Italian bond auctions. Italy sold EUR 7.02b of 3- to 10-year bonds today, below maximum target of EUR 8.5b. Sales of 2022 bond hit max target of EUR 2.5b. Yield was just below the unsustainable 7% at 6.98% even though it dropped from November's 7.56%. Yield on the three year bond due in 2014 dropped from November's 7.89% to 5.62%. However, sales of 2014 and 2021 bonds fell short of the maximum target. This week's result so far firstly suggested that short term funding stress was eased for Italy, but investors are still uncertain on the longer term outlook. Secondly, the fact that the three year bond auction sourly missed target raised much concern that the ECB's EUR 489b three year LTRO fund are not channeled back into peripheral bonds markets. Eurozone M3 money supply rose less than expected by 2.0% yoy in November.

Full Report Here...


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Featured Technical Report

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 100.46; (P) 101.12; (R1) 101.54; More

EUR/JPY drops further to as low as 100.05 so far today and intraday bias remains on the downside for the moment. Break of 100 psychological level should pave the way to 61.8% projection of 123.31 to 100.74 from 111.57 at 97.62 next. On the upside, above 100.72 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But break of 102.53 resistance is needed to signal near term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish and recent fall should continue after brief consolidation.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
EUR German CPI M/M Dec P 0.70% 0.80% 0.00%
EUR German CPI Y/Y Dec P 2.30% 2.20% 2.40%
09:00 EUR Eurozone M3 Y/Y Nov 2.00% 2.50% 2.60%
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims 381K 372K 364K
14:45 USD Chicago PMI Dec 61 62.6
15:00 USD Pending Home Sales M/M Nov 1.50% 10.40%
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -100B
16:00 USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.9M -10.6M
Forex Trade Ideas

Merry X'mas and a Happy New Year, no update next week, next Candlesticks and Ichimoku Trade Idea update will be made on 2 January 2012

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

2012 Outlook

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights


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