Saturday, May 5, 2012

Action Insight Weekly Report 5-5-12 (trusted: contact@actionforex.com)

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Commodity Currencies Tumbled on Worsening Outlook; France and Greek Elections to Trigger Breakout in EUR/USD

Aussie, Kiwi, and to a lesser extend Loonie, were under much pressure last week on worsening global and domestic economic outlook. Selling further accelerated on Friday after the release of disappointing US job data, which triggered massive risk aversion and steep fall in equity markets. In addition, investors were seen nervous ahead of key event risks of France and Greece elections over the weekend. Japanese yen was the strongest currency as markets continued to express dissatisfaction over BoJ's quantitative easing program. Dollar was the second strongest currency last week but we must emphasize that the greenback was bounded in range against Euro, Swiss Franc and Sterling. There is no clear direction in dollar yet even though some might point to risk aversion as a dollar supportive factor. We'd require to see a decisive breakout in EUR/USD from recent range to confirm the underlying momentum in greenback, and that could possibly happen as reaction to the elections. Otherwise, we're just in markets of bullish yen, bearish commodity currencies, and mixed dollar.

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Featured Technical Report

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD's consolidation from 1.0225 completed with three waves to 1.0473 and last week's break of 1.0225 confirmed resumption of whole decline from 1.0852. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 61.8% projection of 1.0852 to 1.0225 from 1.0473 at 1.0086 first and then 100% projection at 0.9846. On the upside, above 1.0277 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery would be limited well below 1.0473 resistance and bring fall resumption.

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Suggested Readings

The Week in Review and Outlook

 


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